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int64
13
221
asap0_name
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81 values
date
stringdate
2016-10-11 00:00:00
2025-11-11 00:00:00
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int64
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3
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4 values
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11
7.83k
g1_w_crop
int64
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69
g1_w_range
int64
0
89
g1_w_any
int64
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92
ISO3
stringclasses
77 values
13
Kyrgyzstan
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
In Kyrgyzstan, sowings of winter cereals finalized under slightly drier than average conditions (with about 70% of the normal rainfall in the last month). This rainfall deficit will start to decrease in December, after which close to average rainfall is forecast through April by the Copernicus C3S multimodel seasonal forecast.
0
0
0
KGZ
20
Bangladesh
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
In Bangladesh, harvest of Aman rice (35% of total country rice production) is underway and prospects are good thanks to above average crop biomass in all divisions.
1
1
1
BGD
27
Tajikistan
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
In Tajikistan, sowings of winter wheat and barley finalized in the centre and north and will finalize in December in the south under drier than average conditions in the centre and south (30% of the normal rainfall was received since early October); crop biomass is however close to average thanks to irrigation. Below average rainfall will persist through December, after which close to average rainfall is to be expected through March according to the Copernicus C3S multimodel seasonal forecast.
0
0
0
TJK
29
Sudan
2025-11-11
2
Major hotspot
After an initial delay in rainfall onset and heavy rains causing floods during the last week of August, at the end of November and close to the end of the season, vegetation conditions in rainfed and pastoral areas are mostly above average in most of western and central Sudan. The seasonal pattern and productivity appears overall similar to 2024 which had also seen exceptional rainfall. In eastern Sudan and especially in Gezira, Gedaref, White Nile and Sennar, conditions of agricultural vegetation have improved and areas active at this time of the year appear larger than in 2024. In southern Kordofan, where a mixed situation was observed in the previous months, the vegetation signal has improved due to late rainfall. For all rainfed areas and also for some irrigated areas, it remains difficult however to separate agricultural from spontaneous vegetation. Considering the ongoing conflict in the country and the limitations to farming it entails, favourable rainfall conditions alone are not sufficient for ensuring close to average yields. After three years of conflict Sudan is one of the gravest food crises globally, with famine confirmed in September 2025 in El Fasher town (North Darfur) and the besieged town of Kadugli (South Kordofan) and risk of famine in other 20 areas. The fall of El Fasher was followed by atrocities and an increase of displacement and there is concern that fighting activities will intensify in Kordofan. Humanitarian needs are increasing in nearby towns like Tawila.
1
0
1
SDN
33
Mozambique
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
Sowing of cereal crops is underway in southern and central parts, and planting activities are progressing further north as seasonal rains arrive. There is a delay in sowing activities and crop and pasture development in some southern, central and northern parts. More specifically, in the provinces of Zambezia, Tete, Niassa, Manica, Sofala and Gaza, crop growth is slightly delayed. Similarly, in these provinces, rangeland conditions in mid-November are below-average. The delays in biomass growth might be attributed to the below-average cumulative rainfall received for the month of October or between mid-October to beginning of November. In the first two dekads of November rainfall has been average to above-average across most parts of the country except for the southern part that continued to receive below-average rainfall amounts. The [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast/monthly-precipitation/forecast/monthly-percentile-probability-plot/multimod-2025_2025_11_2-4-africa.png] Copernicus C3S Multimodel seasonal rainfall forecast for the December 2025-February 2026 period points to average rainfall across the country except for the far northwestern part where drier-than-average conditions are expected. If the Copernicus forecast materializes, that would help support crop growth and pasture regeneration. Monitoring of the situation in the coming weeks is necessary.
7
7
9
MOZ
35
Cuba
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
The main crop cycle of rice and maize, as well as the sweet potato cycle, have reached the harvest stage. Overall, harvest prospects are favourable, except for Holguín province, where large areas of cropland exhibited poor vegetation conditions at the start of the harvest period in late September. In contrast, the minor crop cycle of rice and maize, and the potato cycle, are currently in the sowing stage and have benefited from normal rainfall over the past month, except in the provinces of Pinar del Río, La Habana, and Cienfuegos, where at least 3/5 of the cropland received inadequate rainfall. According to the Copernicus C3S Multimodel, rainfall conditions across the country are expected to be conducive to the normal establishment of crops currently in the sowing stage.
3
3
5
CUB
41
Laos
2025-11-11
3
Not assessed
Not a hotspot country according to the latest ASAP analysis.
3
2
4
LAO
43
Djibouti
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
Not a hotspot country according to the latest ASAP analysis.
0
0
0
DJI
50
Uzbekistan
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
In Uzbekistan, sowing of winter cereals finalized under drier than average conditions (30 to 60% of the average rainfall was received in the last month) especially in the south i.e. Surkhandarya and Kashkadarya. Crop biomass is however close to average thanks to irrigation. According to the Copernicus C3S multimodel seasonal forecast, these drier than average conditions will persist through December, after which close to normal rainfall is forecast through March.
2
0
2
UZB
51
Madagascar
2025-11-11
1
Hotspot
In Madagascar, in the centre and north, rice planting has started or is about to start under close to average moisture conditions. In the Grand South (Anosy, Androy and Atsimo Andrefana) cereals and legumes planting is underway under slightly drier than average rainfall conditions. The Grand South is estimated to have about 1.5 million people facing acute food insecurity (IPC phase 3 and above) as a result of previous droughts (2020, 2021 and 2022), cyclones, and poor socio economic conditions according to the latest [https://www.ipcinfo.org/ipc-country-analysis/details-map/en/c/1159704/] IPC analysis.
5
1
6
MDG
52
El Salvador
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
The Primera maize cycle and the main cycle of rice are in the harvest stage, with overall good harvest prospects. Sorghum and the second cycle of beans and maize are in the vegetation stage. Crops in the vegetation stage have benefited from normal cumulated rainfall registered in the last month. The [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast/monthly-precipitation/forecast/monthly-percentile-probability-plot/multimod-2025_2025_11_2-north_america.png" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener] Copernicus C3S Multimodel forecast indicates above-normal rainfall across the country until the end of the year, which should support an adequate performance for the second season of maize.
2
0
2
SLV
59
Mali
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
Harvesting of the 2025 main season coarse grains crops is underway and it is due to conclude in December, while harvesting of main season rice crops is underway and it is expected to conclude in January 2026. According to [https://doi.org/10.4060/cd7441en] FAO Crop Prospects and Food Situation,November 2025, total cereal production for 2025 is forecast at 11 million tons, ca. 10% above the 5-year average. Despite the good national cereal output expected, on central and northern parts of the country, conflict will continue to significantly impact food security due to access difficulties and trade disruptions ([https://fews.net/west-africa/mali/food-security-outlook/october-2025] FEWSNET (October 2025), [https://www.afriqueverte.org/index.cfm?srub=59] Afrique Verte International (Point sur la situation alimentaire au Sahel, November 2025)). Rangeland conditions are average to above-average and the good conditions (pasture biomass levels, filling of water points) point to good livestock conditions across the country.
0
0
0
MLI
61
C. African Rep.
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
Rice cultivation in southern areas and cassava are nearing harvest time. Mixed rainfall conditions have characterized the past 30 days across the country, with below-average precipitation in eastern and western areas, while conditions elsewhere have been near to slightly above average. Ouham Pendé shows healthy crop status, with biomass indicator 9% above the long-term average According to the latest [https://openknowledge.fao.org/items/2ac83d82-aea7-402f-b84e-c5c45f895238] Crop Prospect and Food Situation report, the Central African Republic faces a below-average 2025 cereal harvest due to persisting insecurity and population displacements. Heavy rainfall and flooding have caused localized crop losses, while prices of maize and rice, staple foods, have remained above 2024 levels, mainly due to continued disruptions in supply chains.
1
0
1
null
66
Ghana
2025-11-11
1
Hotspot
In the southern bimodal rainfall areas, harvest of the main maize crop was concluded in September, while harvesting operations of rainfed rice concluded in October. Harvest of the second season maize crop will start in December. In northern unimodal rainfall areas, harvesting operations of the 2025 cereal crops are ongoing and will be completed in December. Irregular rainfall distribution and persisting rainfall deficits have affected crop conditions across most parts of the country, particularly in the north. As of mid-November, rangeland conditions are close to average in the northern part of the country and below-average across the southwestern part.
7
5
8
GHA
67
Afghanistan
2025-11-11
1
Hotspot
In Afghanistan, harvest of (irrigated) rice finalized in November and prospects are average as suggested by average crop biomass in most provinces except in the northwest (Jawzjan, Faryab) and parts of Samangan where biomass was below average. Planting of winter wheat and barley finalized under drier than average moisture conditions across the country in the last month (rainfall usually starts in November in many areas). Rainfall is forecast to remain below average in December and close to normal from January through April according to the Copernicus C3S seasonal forecast multimodel. Afghanistan continues to face high levels of hunger with about 10 million people estimated in acute food insecurity (IPC phase 3 or above), an improvement with respect to the 15 million estimated in the previous year, as a result of a severe economic and social crisis (combined with climate change, gender inequalities, rapid urbanization, return of refugees from Iran and Pakistan) according to the latest [https://www.ipcinfo.org/ipc-country-analysis/details-map/en/c/1159622/] IPC analysis.
0
7
7
AFG
68
Haiti
2025-11-11
1
Hotspot
The harvest period of the main rice cycle and the second cycle of maize has concluded with favourable prospects. The sowing of the third cycle of maize and second cycle of rice is underway and has benefited from above normal rainfall throughout the country in the past 30 days as well as the sorghum cycle which is about to enter in the harvest stage. However, during the last dekad of October, Hurricane Melissa impacted the country, causing [https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://reliefweb.int/report/haiti/haiti-tropical-storm-melissa-grand-sud-situation-report-26-october-2025__;!!DOxrgLBm!FR6BgHVHfm-7G73shXrPIa8CsV3Y8JY6AkmSip3z13EqJaRl57jdevT7GsydIPC8qOX7EWzYokXIlgQkJ4WvCqFMzZ1HCp7gGyd91aFVUH4$" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener] negative effects on agriculture even before the worst effects of the storm prompted the government to declare a [https://www.telesurenglish.net/haiti-declares-state-of-emergency-for-damage-caused-by-hurricane-melissa-which-left-31-dead/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener] state of emergency. The [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast/monthly-precipitation/forecast/monthly-percentile-probability-plot/multimod-2025_2025_10_2-3-north_america.png" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener] Copernicus C3S Multimodel forecasts indicate normal rainfall until the end of the year, which should allow for the normal establishment of minor rice and maize cycles. It is estimated that approximately 5.7 million people (around 51% of the population) are experiencing high levels of acute food insecurity from September 2025 to January 2026 ([https://www.ipcinfo.org/fileadmin/user_upload/ipcinfo/docs/IPC_Haiti_Acute_Food_Insecurity_Aug2024_Jun2025_Snapshot_English.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener] IPC TWG Haiti).
0
0
0
HTI
74
Tanzania
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
Vuli maize establishment has been completed in bimodal areas, while Msimu maize and sorghum planting is underway in unimodal regions. Precipitation has been mostly average during the last three dekads, except in the north (Mwanza -37%) and in the east (Kigoma -8%). In Pwani, above-average rainfall (+17%) is not reflected in biomass, which is 17 percent below the long-term average. Regular ASAP warnings are currently present in 11 regions; 10 of these are displaying [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/s/b9fa8f7e] seasonal forecast warnings for the current season, as the [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast.php?sfreg=africa] Copernicus C3S Multimodel predicts a dry outlook for the coming months. Following disputed October 29 elections, Tanzania's authorities imposed nationwide internet restrictions and a lockdown that prevented residents from accessing banks and shops to purchase food [https://www.hrw.org/news/2025/11/04/tanzania-killings-crackdown-follow-disputed-elections] (HRW).
13
16
19
TZA
77
Botswana
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
In the last month rainfall has been average to slightly above-average across the country and as a result crop and rangeland conditions are favourable at this early part of the agricultural season. The [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast/monthly-precipitation/forecast/monthly-percentile-probability-plot/multimod-2025_2025_11_2-4-africa.png] Copernicus C3S Multimodel seasonal rainfall forecast for the December 2025-February 2026 period points to average rainfall across the country. According to the [https://fews.net/southern-africa/seasonal-monitor/november-2025] SADC Agromet Update (November 2025), Red Locust invasions have been reported in border areas of Botswana, Zambia, and Namibia as of early November 2025, with adult swarms actively controlled by national teams. Locusts are in the adult life cycle, with a high risk of new hatching if good rains occur, posing threats to crops and rangelands in affected areas..
0
0
0
BWA
78
Iraq
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
In Iraq, sowings of winter cereals are underway (till December) under improving rainfall conditions: After a drier than average start to the season from October to November 10, rainfall improved on the 2nd dekad of November and according to the Copernicus C3S seasonal forecast multimodel, close to average rainfall conditions are forecast from December through April.
13
12
16
IRQ
79
Egypt
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
Not a hotspot country according to the latest ASAP analysis.
6
1
6
EGY
80
Niger
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
At the end of the main season in the country, total cereal production for 2025 is forecast at 6.1 million tons, more than 15% above the 5-year average ([https://doi.org/10.4060/cd7441en] FAO Crop Prospects and Food Situation, November 2025). Pastoral conditions are generally above-average thanks to favourable rainfalls received so far across the country and good livestock production is expected. According to [https://www.afriqueverte.org/index.cfm?srub=59] Afrique Verte International (Point sur la situation alimentaire au Sahel, November 2025), Internal transhumance has begun in several areas, facilitated by the availability of surface water points in most pastoral zones, thus reducing conflicts between herders over livestock watering.
0
0
0
NER
81
Myanmar
2025-11-11
3
Not assessed
Not a hotspot country according to the latest ASAP analysis.
2
0
2
MMR
82
Senegal
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
The harvest of coarse grains (millet, maize and sorghum) is about to conclude, while the harvest of rice is expected to finalize in January 2026. Rainfall was mixed throughout the 2025 agricultural season; below-average rainfall in southeastern parts, above average in some western parts and average elsewhere. In general, crop conditions were average across the country. According to [https://doi.org/10.4060/cd7441en] FAO Crop Prospects and Food Situation, November 2025, below‑average cereal production for 2025 is forecast for Senegal, mostly due to a reduction in the area planted. Rangeland conditions are good across the country benefiting livestock production.
1
1
1
SEN
83
Ecuador
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
The second cycle of maize and rice has completed the harvest stage. The [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/files/technical_note_on_large_scale_yield_forecasting_v1.0.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener] JRC pre-operational yield forecasting system predicts a national yield average for the 2025 maize campaign (two cycles) similar to the 5-year average (about 4266 kg/ha) and for the rice a 4.5 % lower than the 5-year average.
0
7
7
ECU
88
South Sudan
2025-11-11
2
Major hotspot
Flooding has strongly impacted communities across South Sudan and especially along the Sudd in Jongley, Unity and Warrab states as reported by [https://reliefweb.int/report/south-sudan/south-sudan-flooding-situation-flash-update-no-4-26-september-2025] Relief web. Satellite imagery shows vegetation status in the whole Sudd area clearly lower than average and most likely due to flooding. In the northern part (Upper Nile but also in West and Northern Bhar al Ghazal), both crop and rangeland conditions show a late season improvement, most likely driven by rapid greening of natural vegetation following abundant rainfall in October. Some agricultural areas show below average crop conditions in parts of Upper Nile. According to [https://fews.net/east-africa/south-sudan] FEWSNET (October 2025), conflict and flooding drive emergency outcomes and famine in Nasir. Whereas According to IPC, an estimated 6 million people are experiencing IPC Phase 3 or higher (Crisis or worse) during the current analysis period from September to November 2025. This includes approximately 1.3 million people in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency) and 4.6 million in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis).
0
0
0
SSD
90
Mauritania
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
Harvesting of the 2025 cereal crops is underway in the agricultural and agro-pastoral zones of the country. Despite the irregular rainfall distribution, both cropland and rangeland biomass conditions as of mid-November are at average to above-average levels. According to [https://www.fao.org/giews/countrybrief/country.jsp?code=MRT] FAO GIEWS (September 2025), cereal production in 2025 is expected to be boosted by governmental support to farmers.
1
0
1
MRT
92
Angola
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
Cumulative rainfall for the last month has been mixed across the country; below-average in localized parts of the central provinces, well below-average in the northwestern provinces and average to slightly above-average in the rest of the country. As a result, sowing activities and crop development have been impeded in northwestern parts of the country and similarly, pastoral conditions are below-average in the same areas. More specifically, as of mid-November, crop and pastoral conditions are affected in the minor cereal producing provinces of Bengo, Kuanza Norte, Luanda and Malanje. The province of Bie, that provides a significant percentage of the national cereal production ([https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/country.php?cntry=8] Graph: Share of national cereal production by subnational units), is also affected by poor crop conditions but rainfall has improved in the first two dekads of November and a recovery in biomass conditions is observed. The [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast/monthly-precipitation/forecast/monthly-percentile-probability-plot/multimod-2025_2025_11_2-4-africa.png] Copernicus C3S Multimodel seasonal rainfall forecast for the December 2025-February 2026 period points to average rainfall over most parts of the country except for the northwestern part where drier-than-average conditions are forecast. Monitoring the situation in the next months is crucial.
7
7
9
AGO
93
Nicaragua
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
The second cycle of maize and beans, sorghum, and rice cycles are in the harvest stage. The prospect are poor in several areas, including important grain producer departments such as Matagalpa, Rio San Juan, Granada and Managua. The Apante cycle (maize and beans) has started and benefited from normal rainfall in the last month. Looking ahead, the [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast/monthly-precipitation/forecast/monthly-percentile-probability-plot/multimod-2025_2025_11_2-3-north_america.png" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener] Copernicus C3S Multimodel forecast predicts above-normal rainfall across the country until the end of January, which should benefit the Apante cycle.
5
0
5
NIC
96
Eritrea
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
Not a hotspot country according to the latest ASAP analysis.
0
0
0
ERI
100
Honduras
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
The Postrera cycle (maize and beans) and the sorghum are, respectively, entered or are about to enter the harvesting stage with favorable prospects. and have been favored by normal rainfall in the last month. Vegetation conditions are normal in most cropland areas across Honduras. The [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast/monthly-precipitation/forecast/monthly-percentile-probability-plot/multimod-2025_2025_11_2-3-north_america.png" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener] Copernicus C3S Multimodel forecast indicates above-normal rainfall across the country until the end of January. If the forecast materialized, there would be conducive conditions for the establishment of the upcoming Apante cycle. According to the latest IPC analysis, approximately 1.6 million people are projected to experience high levels of acute food insecurity in November, representing 16% of the population ([https://www.ipcinfo.org/fileadmin/user_upload/ipcinfo/docs/IPC_Honduras_2024_AcuteFoodInsecurity_Dic2024Nov2025_Report_Spanish.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener] IPC TWG Honduras, April 2025).
1
2
2
HND
105
Algeria
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
In Algeria, sowings of winter cereals are underway (till January) and mixed rainfall conditions since the start of sowings in October have resulted in mixed cereals conditions: in the west, rainfall deficit till the first dekad of November has resulted in delayed sowings or cereals growth (as shown by below average biomass) while in the centre and east, crop biomass is average to above average thanks to slightly better rainfall. Cereals conditions should improve in the west in the coming months as close to average rainfall is forecast from December to April, according to the Copernicus C3S seasonal multimodel forecast.
18
18
21
DZA
108
Bolivia
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
Rice and the main cycle of maize are in the sowing stage. Rainfall in October and November, which is the sowing period, has been overall normal in the Santa Cruz province, which concentrates more than 70% of total national grain production. However, poor vegetation conditions affect nearly one third of the total cropland area of Santa Cruz. This could be explained by delays in the planting of the rice and maize cycles, caused by the [https://www.infobae.com/movant/2025/10/27/crisis-de-combustibles-en-bolivia-impacta-en-la-logistica-y-el-comercio-exterior-regional/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener] fuel crisis which continue to affect the agricultural sector. The new cycles could also be delayed in the province of Tarija where a quarter of total cropland shows below normal vegetation conditions. In this case, though, poor rainfall received in the last month could also be linked to poor vegetation conditions. The [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast/monthly-precipitation/forecast/monthly-percentile-probability-plot/multimod-2025_2025_11_2-south_america.png" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener] Copernicus C3S Multi-Model forecasts normal rainfall until the end of December across the country.
2
1
2
BOL
111
Zambia
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
Although cumulative rainfall in the last month has been average to slightly above-average across the country, crop and pastoral conditions are poor across most parts of the country, with ca. 70% of active crop area and ca.55% of active rangeland area being affected by a greenness anomaly at the national level. The season is still at a very early stage and monitoring will be crucial over the coming weeks. The [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast/monthly-precipitation/forecast/monthly-percentile-probability-plot/multimod-2025_2025_11_2-4-africa.png] Copernicus C3S Multimodel seasonal rainfall forecast for the December 2025-February 2026 period points to average rainfall across the country except for the far northern part where drier-than-average conditions are forecast. As of later November, the Kariba Dam water levels are critically low and are approaching the minimum operating levels for power generation ([https://www.zambezira.org/hydrology/lake-levels] Zambezi River Authority). According to the [https://fews.net/southern-africa/seasonal-monitor/november-2025] SADC Agromet Update (November 2025), the critically low dam levels continue to severely constrain hydroelectric power generation, resulting in extensive load-shedding in both Zambia and Zimbabwe..
9
9
9
ZMB
112
Côte d'Ivoire
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
The harvesting of the main season maize crop has been completed in September. Planting of the secondary maize crop, mostly cultivated in the south, concluded in September and harvesting is expected to take place between December 2025 and January 2026. In the North, which only has one rainy season, the harvest of cereals is underway and is expected to conclude in December 2025. The total cereal production for 2025 is expected to be average or slightly below-average. An extended rainfall deficit between mid-July to beginning of September negatively affected crop conditions, however rainfall improved from beginning/mid-September until mid-November and there was a recovery in crop biomass conditions.
8
8
10
CIV
117
Guatemala
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
The Postrera maize and beans cycles, are currently in the vegetation and harvesting stage respectively. A new cycle of maize and beans (Apante) is starting in the North. Normal rainfall in the last 30 days has benefited Postrera and the establishment of the Apante cycle, except in the southern department of Escuintla, Retalhuleu and Suchitepéquez were rainfall has been poor in more than 60% of their croplands. Overall, vegetation conditions are normal across country’s croplands with some localized exceptions mainly in Verapaz, and Central Guatemala. According to the [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast/monthly-precipitation/forecast/monthly-percentile-probability-plot/multimod-2025_2025_11_2-3-north_america.png" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener] Copernicus C3S Multimodel forecast, above to average rainfall is expected until the end of January, which should support a normal completion of the ongoing Postrera and Apante cycles. Meanwhile, the latest IPC analysis estimates that around 2.6 million people (14% of the population) were experiencing high levels of acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or worse) in November ([https://www.ipcinfo.org/ipc-country-analysis/details-map/en/c/1159721/?iso3=GTM" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener] IPC TWG Guatemala).
3
2
3
GTM
118
Togo
2025-11-11
1
Hotspot
Harvesting of the 2025 main season maize crops was completed in southern areas in September, whereas in the rest of the country, harvesting of millet, sorghum and rice crops is ongoing and is expected to be concluded by the end of November. A reduced cereal harvest is expected in the northern part of the country, where a large part of crop area was affected by a greenness anomaly throughout the 2025 agricultural season. Planting of the second season maize crops in the south was completed in September and crop conditions have improved thanks to generally average rainfall received in the last month. Harvesting of the second season maize crop is set to begin in December 2025.
2
2
3
TGO
120
Morocco
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
In Morocco, sowings of winter cereals normally take place in November December. This year, after a drier than average start to the season with 30% to 50% of the normal rainfall received from October to early November, good rainfall was received on the 2nd dekad of November in particular in the northwest (from Doukkala-Abda to Tanger-Tétouan), which should support establishment and early development of cereals. According to the Copernicus C3S seasonal multimodel forecast, from December to April rainfall should be close to normal, which should favour cereals growth after four years of rainfall deficit.
10
14
14
MAR
121
Tunisia
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
In Tunisia, sowings of winter cereals are underway (till December) under drier than average conditions since October in the eastern half of the country (with about 50 to 60% of the normal rainfall). As a result, biomass of winter cereals is below average in eastern Tunisia, including in Beja, the main durum and soft wheat producing governorate, which could be due to delayed sowings. However, as from December, rainfall conditions are forecast close to average through April, according to Copernicus C3S seasonal multimodel forecast.
13
14
14
TUN
122
Turkmenistan
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
In Turkmenistan, sowings of winter wheat finalized under drier than average rainfall conditions (50 to 60% rainfall deficit). However wheat is irrigated and crop biomass is good. Below average rainfall is expected for December, after which normal rainfall is forecast through March according to the Copernicus C3S multimodel seasonal forecast.
0
0
0
TKM
126
Philippines
2025-11-11
3
Not assessed
Not a hotspot country according to the latest ASAP analysis.
5
2
5
PHL
128
Iran
2025-11-11
1
Hotspot
In Iran, sowings of winter wheat finalized in November while sowings of barley are underway (till December) under drier and 2 to 3C warmer than average conditions. Actually, 30 to 50% of the average rainfall was received in the last month (21 October – 20 November), which corresponds to the start of rainfall in central and southern Iran (the regions bordering the Caspian Sea being the only ones with rainfall during summer). There is an ongoing water crisis in Iran (see e.g. this article from the [https://carnegieendowment.org/emissary/2025/11/iran-water-crisis-warning-climate?lang=en] Carnegie Endowment for International Peace) with many dams filled at less than 10% of their capacity according to [https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2025/11/12/as-the-dams-feeding-tehran-run-dry-iran-struggles-with-a-dire-water-crisis] Al Jazeera and to S2 satellite imagery - see [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/s/d3700f3e] lake Yurd-e Shah Bala, east of Tehran, in November 2018 and now on S2 imagery, [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/s/b28e664e] Latyam dam, east of Tehran, [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/s/d3b019c8] Lar dam, NE of Tehran (under snow in November 2018) , or [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/s/92462553] Amir Kabir dam (west of Tehran). This is the result of several years of rainfall deficit and irrigation water for crops cultivation is likely to be reduced. These drier than average conditions should persist in December in the north and north-east of Iran, after which some relief could be expected as close to average rainfall is forecast for the period January to April by the Copernicus C3S seasonal forecast multimodel.
14
8
17
IRN
129
Namibia
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
In the last month rainfall has been average across the country and as a result crop and rangeland conditions are favourable at this early part of the agricultural season. The [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast/monthly-precipitation/forecast/monthly-percentile-probability-plot/multimod-2025_2025_11_2-4-africa.png] Copernicus C3S Multimodel seasonal rainfall forecast for the December 2025-February 2026 period points to average rainfall across the country. According to the [https://fews.net/southern-africa/seasonal-monitor/november-2025] SADC Agromet Update (November 2025), Red Locust invasions have been reported in border areas of Botswana, Zambia, and Namibia as of early November 2025, with adult swarms actively controlled by national teams. Locusts are in the adult life cycle, with a high risk of new hatching if good rains occur, posing threats to crops and rangelands in affected areas..
1
1
1
NAM
131
Gambia
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
The harvest of maize ended in October, while the harvest of rice, millet and sorghum is expected to be completed by the end of November. According to [https://ipad.fas.usda.gov/countrysummary/default.aspx?id=GA] USDA, rice and millet production for 2025 is expected to be close or even slightly above the 5-year average, whereas maize production is forecast at a decreased level (ca.9% below the 5-year average).
0
0
0
GMB
132
Cambodia
2025-11-11
3
Not assessed
Not a hotspot country according to the latest ASAP analysis.
8
12
13
KHM
133
Lesotho
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
In the last month, cumulative rainfall has been well above-average (ca. 40%-75% above-average) supporting crop and rangeland conditions at this early stage of the 2025/2026 agricultural season. The [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast/monthly-precipitation/forecast/monthly-percentile-probability-plot/multimod-2025_2025_11_2-4-africa.png] Copernicus C3S Multimodel seasonal rainfall forecast for the December 2025-February 2026 period points to average rainfall across the country.
0
0
0
LSO
134
Viet Nam
2025-11-11
3
Not assessed
Not a hotspot country according to the latest ASAP analysis.
17
14
21
VNM
135
Cameroon
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
Harvesting of the main 2025 season maize crop has been finalized in bi-modal rainfall areas of the centre and south. Rainfall amounts have been adequate since the onset of the season in March benefiting crop development and yields. In northern uni-modal areas (North and Far North regions), where sorghum and millet crops are predominantly grown, harvesting is underway. Planting of the second season maize crops was concluded in late September in the southern part of the country and crop biomass is at an average to above-average level as of mid-November. Preliminary forecasts place the 2025 cereal production at 3.8 million tonnes, close to the 5-year average ([https://doi.org/10.4060/cd7441en] FAO Crop Prospects and Food Situation, November 2025). However, according to [https://fews.net/west-africa/cameroon/key-message-update/november-2025] FEWSNET (November 2025), Prolonged conflict, insecurity, and rising food prices — intensified by post-electoral tensions — are expected to drive Stressed (IPC Phase 2) and Crisis (IPC Phase 3) outcomes across the Far North, Northwest, Southwest and Adamawa regions, as well as in the urban centers of Yaoundé and Douala through at least May 2026.
2
5
7
CMR
140
Sri Lanka
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
In Sri Lanka, planting of main season (Maha) rice and maize is finalizing (see [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/s/3f4f3b0c] flooded rice fields in Eastern by comparison with June 2025, when rice fields were close to flowering). At end November, cyclone Ditwah brought ample rainfall that caused flooding and casualties according to the [https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cq602686dq8o] BBC. According to the Copernicus C3S multimodel seasonal forecast, rainfall is expected close to normal from December through April.
5
2
5
LKA
141
South Africa
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
Rainfall in the last month has been average to slightly above-average across the country and a positive start of the season is observed so far. A rainfall deficit has been observed in the last month across the coastal parts of Eastern Cape and KwaZulu-Natal with no visible impact on crop or rangeland biomass conditions. The preliminary area planted to summer cereal crops for 2025/2026 will be published on 27th January 2026 by the [https://www.sagis.org.za/crop-estimates-committee-2/] Crop Estimates Committee. The [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast/monthly-precipitation/forecast/monthly-percentile-probability-plot/multimod-2025_2025_11_2-4-africa.png] Copernicus C3S Multimodel seasonal rainfall forecast for the December 2025-February 2026 period points to average rainfall across the country.
0
1
1
ZAF
142
Congo
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
Not a hotspot country according to the latest ASAP analysis.
1
5
5
COG
148
Malawi
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
Land preparation for, and planting of, the 2025/26 cereal crops are underway, with average to above-average cumulative rainfall in the last month. The [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast/monthly-precipitation/forecast/monthly-percentile-probability-plot/multimod-2025_2025_11_2-4-africa.png] Copernicus C3S Multimodel seasonal rainfall forecast for the December 2025-February 2026 period points to average rainfall across the country.
0
3
3
MWI
150
Burundi
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
Precipitation over the past 30 days has been mixed across Burundi, with above-average amounts in the northeast and below-average levels in the southwest. Gitega, which accounts for 11.4 percent of national cereal production, currently shows average biomass. 7 units across the country are exhibiting biomass ASAP warnings and are currently under [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/s/86b9bd41] seasonal forecast warning for the current season, as the [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast.php?sfreg=africa] Copernicus C3S Multimodel predicts a dry outlook for the coming months. Precipitation over the past 30 days has been mixed thoughout Burundi, with above-average amounts in the northeast and below-average levels in the southwest. Gitega, which accounts for 11.4 percent of national cereal production, currently shows average biomass. 7 units across the country are exhibiting biomass ASAP warnings and are currently under seasonal forecast warning for the current season, as the Copernicus Multimodel predict a dry outlook for the coming months. According to the latest [https://openknowledge.fao.org/items/2ac83d82-aea7-402f-b84e-c5c45f895238] Crop Prospect and Food Situation report, Burundi faces widespread lack of access to food and is listed among countries requiring external assistance. Livelihood losses due to climatic shocks and protracted macroeconomic challenges.
7
3
7
BDI
155
Nigeria
2025-11-11
1
Hotspot
At the end of the main season, preliminary forecasts place the 2025 cereal production at 29.8 million tonnes, slightly above the 5-year average ([https://doi.org/10.4060/cd7441en] FAO Crop Prospects and Food Situation, November 2025). Despite the good national level output, reduced yields are expected in the Middle Belt States, where crop conditions were poor throughout the agricultural season. Moreover, according to [https://fews.net/west-africa/nigeria/food-security-outlook/october-2025] FEWSNET (October 2025), In northern Nigeria, conflict continues to drive displacement, disrupt livelihood and market activities, and constrain access to income and farmland. Widespread flooding in 2025 resulted in localized crop losses, with over 60,000 ha of farmland devastated ([https://reliefweb.int/report/nigeria/nigeria-floods-update-dg-echo-un-ocha-wfp-nimet-media-echo-daily-flash-17-october-2025] ECHO Daily Flash (17/10)).
14
15
19
NGA
156
Somalia
2025-11-11
2
Major hotspot
Rainfall in October and November was significantly below average, with a delayed onset, and forecasts for December continue to indicate below-average rainfall, particularly in the southern and central regions. The effects of the delayed season and deficient rains are already evident, impacting both crops and rangelands across most areas. Vegetation has been especially degraded in the southern regions, including Bay, Gedo, and Juba, among other areas. According to the [https://openknowledge.fao.org/server/api/core/bitstreams/adad6ba1-2342-439e-8bf7-4776ee669582/content] GIEWS special alert, dry conditions in October and November 2025 have severely reduced pasture availability and hindered crop development, raising concerns over harvest prospects and food security. On 10 November, the Federal Government of Somalia declared a drought emergency and appealed for urgent international assistance as conditions worsened nationwide. Between October and December 2025, food security conditions are projected to deteriorate, with an estimated 4.4 million people likely to face Crisis or worse (IPC Phase 3 and above). Of these, about 3.4 million are expected to be in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis) and roughly 921,000 in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency). Enhanced and timely humanitarian assistance is vital to sustain affected communities and prevent a further escalation of food insecurity given the prevailing conditions.
6
12
13
SOM
157
D.R. Congo
2025-11-11
1
Hotspot
Cassava in the north and maize in the south are both currently in the growing stage, whereas maize in the central region is beginning to be harvested. Over the past month, rainfall across the country has been below average. In Kwilu, which represents 10.6% of national cereal production, 72% of the crop area is currently experiencing severe water deficit. According to the latest [https://openknowledge.fao.org/items/2ac83d82-aea7-402f-b84e-c5c45f895238] Crop Prospect and Food Situation report, millions of people in the Democratic Republic of the Congo face acute food insecurity, with armed conflict since January 2025 and flooding between March and April 2025 driving mass displacement and disrupting agricultural production and markets. The recent escalation in Kivu Region is likely to further worsen the situation. As of August 2025, a total of 5.8 million internally displaced persons have been estimated, according to [https://www.unhcr.org/where-we-work/countries/democratic-republic-congo] UNHCR.
13
8
16
null
160
Liberia
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
Not a hotspot country according to the latest ASAP analysis.
0
3
3
LBR
161
North Korea
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
In DPRK, sowings of winter wheat and barley finalized in November under close to average conditions.
0
0
0
PRK
163
Kenya
2025-11-11
1
Hotspot
At end of harvest time in the unimodal regions, crop production prospects in the Western and Rift Valley areas are generally favorable, supported by conducive agro-climatic conditions throughout the season. In contrast, the bimodal areas, where the second-season crops began in October, are experiencing the effects of moisture deficits. Rainfall has remained below the long-term average in most of these regions, further compounded by a delayed onset of the season. This follows an already below-average long rains harvest; for example, NDMA reports indicate that maize production in Kitui was about 40 percent below average, while in Makueni, overall yields were constrained by erratic rainfall patterns. Pasture conditions in ASAL counties continue to deteriorate, with northeastern and coastal rangelands such as Wajir and Mandera exhibiting notably poor vegetation, driven by hotter-than-average temperatures and below-average rainfall. Forecasts of drier-than-normal rains in December 2025 are expected to place additional pressure on crop and livestock production in these areas. According to IPC, food security conditions are projected to worsen between October 2025 and January 2026. Around 2.1 million people are expected to face acute food insecurity at IPC Phase 3 or higher (Crisis or worse). This includes approximately 160,000 people in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency) and 2 million in IPC Phase 3 (Crisis). The expected decline is largely attributed to forecasted below-average rainfall, which is likely to drive up staple food prices and intensify conflicts over resource management.
2
3
3
KEN
164
Yemen
2025-11-11
1
Hotspot
In Yemen, after a delayed start of season for Kharif cereals (sorghum, millet, maize, summer wheat) in the highlands due to low rainfall in July, moisture conditions improved with abundant rainfall in August and good rainfall in September, resulting in above average crop biomass and good prospects for Kharif cereals and summer wheat, whose harvest finalized in the Northern and Central Highlands as well as in the Southern Uplands. In the Coastal Areas, harvest of sorghum, millet and maize will take place in December January and prospects are also good as suggested by above average crop biomass. Food insecurity remains high with about 18 out of 40 million people (IPC phase 3 or above) mainly as a result of the socio economic conditions (see [https://www.unocha.org/publications/report/yemen/yemen-humanitarian-update-september-2025-enar] OCHA September update and [https://www.ipcinfo.org/fileadmin/user_upload/ipcinfo/docs/IPC_Yemen_Combined_SBA_GoY_Acute_Food_Insecurity_May2025_February2026_Special_Brief.pdf)] IPC forecast of June 2025).
0
1
1
YEM
165
Timor-Leste
2025-11-11
3
Not assessed
Not a hotspot country according to the latest ASAP analysis.
0
0
0
TLS
168
Sierra Leone
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
The harvest of paddy rice, the main cereal grown in the country, and minor coarse grains (maize, millet and sorghum) crops is underway and is expected to be completed by the end of December. According to [https://doi.org/10.4060/cd7441en] FAO Crop Prospects and Food Situation,November 2025, In Guinea and Sierra Leone, increases in the planted area are expected to offset reduced crop productivity, reflecting the effects of a mixed rainy season, and maintain above‑average harvests in 2025 . Rangeland biomass conditions as of mid-November are at an average level.
0
2
2
SLE
176
Libya
2025-11-11
3
Not assessed
Not a hotspot country according to the latest ASAP analysis.
8
14
14
LBY
179
Rwanda
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
Season A crops, such as sorghum, maize, and beans, are currently in the growth stage. Precipitation over the past 30 days has been above average throughout Rwanda. Despite low rainfall during the early stages of the season, biomass in Nyagatare, which accounts for 15.4 percent of national cereal production, is now recorded at 5% above the long-term average. According to [https://reliefweb.int/report/rwanda/giews-country-brief-rwanda-12-november-2025] the GIEWS Country Brief on Rwanda, aggregate cereal production in 2025 is officially estimated at 943,000 tonnes, 12 percent above the average of the previous five years, reflecting the positive effect on yields of generally favourable weather conditions and long-standing government policies aimed at increasing agricultural productivity. Cereal production has recorded a sustained upward trend in recent years, with an average annual growth rate exceeding 4 percent between 2015 and 2025, mainly due to government programmes promoting the use of improved seeds and fertilizers, and land consolidation.
9
9
9
RWA
180
Guinea-Bissau
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
Not a hotspot country according to the latest ASAP analysis.
0
2
2
GNB
183
Indonesia
2025-11-11
3
Not assessed
Not a hotspot country according to the latest ASAP analysis.
1
0
1
IDN
185
Ethiopia
2025-11-11
1
Hotspot
Deyr rainfall in the southern areas of the country has remained significantly below average in November and in combination with above average temperatures has contributed to drought conditions. Decreased vegetation growth in the southern part of Ethiopia is visible on satellite imagery and is expected to negatively affect pastures and water availability for livestock in the area. Seasonal weather forecasts for December/January continue to show high probability for below average rainfall as predicted in combination with the ongoing La Niña event. In the central and northern parts of the country Meher season crops are reaching harvesting stage. Meher season crop conditions appear generally good, despite late starts and irregular rainfall distribution and floods in parts of western and central Ethiopia. Exceptions are visible in Eastern Harerge and in Bale regions where performance at this time of the season is below average. According to [https://fews.net/east-africa/ethiopia/food-security-outlook/october-2025] FEWNSET (October 2025) the delayed onset of the Deyr rainy season and low performance of rainfall with the expected negative impact on both crops and rangelands in Southern Oromya increases the likelyhood of emergence of IPC Phase 4 conditions.
2
3
3
ETH
188
Kazakhstan
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
In southern Kazakhstan, sowings of winter wheat (which represents 5% of the total wheat production) finalized in November under drier than average conditions (30 to 60% below average rainfall in the last month). These drier than average conditions are expected to persist in December in the west (Yujno K.), after which close to normal rainfall is forecast through April by the Copernicus C3S multimodel seasonal forecast.
0
0
0
KAZ
189
Thailand
2025-11-11
3
Not assessed
Not a hotspot country according to the latest ASAP analysis.
5
8
8
THA
190
Nepal
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
In Nepal, harvest of rice is underway with good prospects thanks to average (western) to above average (Central, Eastern) crop biomass. Sowings of winter wheat are finalizing under normal (i.e. dry season) conditions.
0
0
0
NPL
192
Colombia
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
Main cycle of rice and maize are in the vegetation stage. Rainfall has been normal except in Casanare, Norte de Santander, Huila and Boyaca which together account for about 15% of the country’s grain production. Large areas of cropland in these departments present a poor vegetation condition, as well as in other important grain producers such as Valle del Cauca, Tolima and Meta, possibly linked to dry periods experienced at the beginning of November which may have caused delays in the sowing of ongoing cycles. The [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast/monthly-precipitation/forecast/monthly-percentile-probability-plot/multimod-2025_2025_11_2-3-south_america.png" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener] Copernicus C3S Multimodel forecast above-rainfall across the country, which would help to reverse the poor vegetation issues signaled previously. Colombia has been identified as a major food crisis country in the last edition of the Global Report on Food Crisis ([https://www.fsinplatform.org/sites/default/files/resources/files/GRFC2025-full.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener] GRFC 2025), which also identifies weather extremes as one of the primary drivers of acute food insecurity in the country.
3
6
9
COL
193
Guinea
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
Harvesting of coarse grains (maize, millet and sorghum) is almost completed, while harvesting operations for rice, the most important crop produced in the country, will continue until January 2026. According to [https://doi.org/10.4060/cd7441en] FAO Crop Prospects and Food Situation,November 2025, In Guinea and Sierra Leone, increases in the planted area are expected to offset reduced crop productivity, reflecting the effects of a mixed rainy season, and maintain above‑average harvests in 2025..
0
1
1
GIN
195
Benin
2025-11-11
1
Hotspot
Harvesting of coarse grains is underway in the northern part of the country, which has only one rainy season. In the South, harvesting of the 2025 second season maize crop is about to start. Reduced cereal production is expected in 2025, as crop conditions in the northern departments of Alibori, Borgou and Atakora were poor throughout the 2025 agricultural season. The three departments contribute together more than 40% of the total cereal production ([https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/country.php?cntry=29] Graph: Share of national cereal production by subnational units). Rangeland conditions are similarly poor in Borgou and Alibori departments.
5
3
6
BEN
196
Equat.Guinea
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
Not a hotspot country according to the latest ASAP analysis.
0
0
0
null
199
Pakistan
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
In Pakistan, harvest of kharif crops (rice, maize, millet and cotton) is close to completion with favourable prospects as suggested by average to above average crop biomass in all provinces thanks to ample rainfall since end of June and despite the damages caused by flooding in August and early September, mainly in Punjab. Sowings of Rabi crops (winter wheat and barley) are underway under normal conditions (rainfall has stopped in early October across the country).
0
0
0
PAK
206
Peru
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
Potatoes and sorghum are in the harvest phase with good prospects, [https://app.powerbi.com/view?r=eyJrIjoiMmNmZDI2MzAtNjQ0NS00MzRkLTg3N2QtZjk4ZWZjY2Q1OTY3IiwidCI6IjdmMDg0NjI3LTdmNDAtNDg3OS04OTE3LTk0Yjg2ZmQzNWYzZiJ9" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener] except in Cajamarca and Arequipa likely due to the reduction of areas planted. Maize, barely, soybean and wheat are in the sowing stage and have benefited from normal rainfall received in cropland areas across Peru in the last month. The [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast/monthly-precipitation/forecast/monthly-percentile-probability-plot/multimod-2025_2025_11_2-south_america.png" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener] Copernicus C3S Multimodel forecast suggests that precipitation will be below normal until the end of the year in the northern coast departments and in central Peru.
2
1
3
PER
209
Uganda
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
In the unimodal northern parts, such as Karamoja, harvesting has already concluded, with favorable outcomes expected, largely due to the generally good conditions experienced throughout most of the season. However, in the central and southern areas where the second season is underway, concerns are emerging due to a late start and erratic rainfall. For example, both the first and second dekads of November have been predominantly below average. Forecasts from ICPAC and the Copernicus C3S multimodel further suggest that December is likely to bring drier than average conditions to the bimodal zones, which may further undermine crop and livestock performance. Current vegetation patterns reflect this contrast, with northern areas showing above average greenness and much of the central region experiencing below-average vegetation levels. Acute Food Insecurity projection for August 2025 to February 2026 shows that 2.1 million people are in Crisis or worse (IPC Phase 3+).
8
7
8
UGA
210
Eswatini
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
In the last month, cumulative rainfall has been below-average (ca. 25%-30% below-average). Despite the rainfall deficit, crop and rangeland biomass conditions are at a slightly above-average level as of mid-November. The [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast/monthly-precipitation/forecast/monthly-percentile-probability-plot/multimod-2025_2025_11_2-4-africa.png] Copernicus C3S Multimodel seasonal rainfall forecast for the December 2025-February 2026 period points to average rainfall across the country.
0
0
0
SWZ
212
Chad
2025-11-11
1
Hotspot
The harvest of maize and millet crops was completed in October, whereas those of sorghum and rice will be completed by the end of November and December, respectively. Crop conditions were mixed across the country throughout the 2025 agricultural season; poor in the Sudanian zone and above-average in the Sahelian zone. The reason for that is that the southern part had been affected by early season rainfall deficits (below average rainfall between mid-May and end of June), whereas the Sahelian zone experienced more favourable rainfall conditions in the 2025 agricultural season. At the national level, the overall cereal production is expected to be close to the 5-year average ([https://doi.org/10.4060/cd7441en] FAO Crop Prospects and Food Situation, November 2025). However, according to preliminary results from the Directorate of Agricultural Statistics Production (DPSA), a decrease in production is expected compared to the last five years for millet (-5%), sorghum (-19%), groundnuts (-12%), and wheat (-17%) ([https://reliefweb.int/report/chad/wfp-chad-bulletin-de-suivi-de-la-saison-pluvieuse-evaluation-globale-de-la-saison-2025-novembre-2025] WFP Chad Bulletin de suivi de la saison pluvieuse - Évaluation globale de la saison 2025 (Novembre 2025)). Moreover, according to the [https://reliefweb.int/report/chad/wfp-chad-bulletin-de-suivi-de-la-saison-pluvieuse-evaluation-globale-de-la-saison-2025-novembre-2025] same preliminary results from DPSA, a decrease in cereal production compared to the 2024/2025 campaign is also expected in Batha (-42%), Chari Baguirmi (-7%), Lac (-4%), Salamat (-18%), Moyo Kebbi Est (-27%), Logone Occidental (-38%) and Logone Oriental (-13%). Rangeland biomass conditions are similarly mixed; poor in the south and average to above-average in the rest of the country.
8
4
8
TCD
218
Zimbabwe
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
The planting of summer cereal crops started in November. Cumulative rainfall in October has been well below-average across the northern, northeastern, eastern and central parts of the country. As a result, in mid-November there is a delay in sowing activities and crop and pasture development in Mashonaland West, Mashonaland East, Manicaland and Midlands. Rainfall in the first two dekads of November has been average to above-average across the country and might benefit a recovery in crop and rangeland biomass conditions, as it is still early in the agricultural season. The [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast/monthly-precipitation/forecast/monthly-percentile-probability-plot/multimod-2025_2025_11_2-4-africa.png] Copernicus C3S Multimodel seasonal rainfall forecast for the December 2025-February 2026 period points to average rainfall across the country. As of later November, the Kariba Dam water levels are critically low and are approaching the minimum operating levels for power generation ([https://www.zambezira.org/hydrology/lake-levels] Zambezi River Authority). According to the [https://fews.net/southern-africa/seasonal-monitor/november-2025] SADC Agromet Update (November 2025), the critically low dam levels continue to severely constrain hydroelectric power generation, resulting in extensive load-shedding in both Zambia and Zimbabwe..
7
6
7
ZWE
219
Burkina Faso
2025-11-11
0
No hotspot
The harvest of maize is being concluded in November, while the harvest of millet and rice will be finalized at the end of December 2025. Total cereal production for 2025 is forecast at 6.1 million tons, more than 15% above the 5-year average ([https://doi.org/10.4060/cd7441en] FAO Crop Prospects and Food Situation, November 2025). However, localized reduced crop production is expected in the regions of Est and Centre-ouest, where a large part of crop area was affected by a greenness anomaly throughout the 2025 agricultural season. Rangelands fared well during the agricultural season and are expected to support livestock production.
2
0
2
BFA
221
Syrian A.R.
2025-11-11
1
Hotspot
In Syria, sowings of winter cereals, which started in October, are underway till December – January under improving rainfall conditions and 2 to 3C above average temperatures: after a drier than average start to the season from 21 October to 10 November, close to average rainfall was received on the main cereals producing areas on the 2nd dekad of November, favouring winter cereals establishment. According to the Copernicus C3S seasonal models forecast, close to normal rainfall conditions are expected from December / January through April, which should support cereals growth after the very strong drought of 2025. Food insecurity remains high with more than 14 million people in need of food assistance (for a total population of 21 million – see [https://erccportal.jrc.ec.europa.eu/ECHO-Products/Echo-Flash#/echo-flash-items/29184] ECHO Flash) as a result of the conflict and a protracted economic crisis according to WFP, as well as a very poor wheat harvest in 2025.
3
7
8
null
13
Kyrgyzstan
2025-10-11
0
No hotspot
In Kyrgyzstan, harvest of maize and spring wheat finalized in October with slightly below average output (mainly in Chuy) as suggested by crop biomass. Sowings of winter cereals are underway under drier than average conditions (35 to 55% below average rainfall in the last month). These conditions are expected to persist in November and part of December, after which close to average rainfall is forecast through March by the Copernicus C3S multimodel seasonal forecast.
0
1
1
KGZ
20
Bangladesh
2025-10-11
0
No hotspot
In Bangladesh, Aman rice (35% of total country rice production, to be harvested in November December) is growing under favourable moisture conditions with good prospects thanks to above average crop biomass in all divisions.
0
0
0
BGD
27
Tajikistan
2025-10-11
0
No hotspot
In Tajikistan, sowings of winter wheat and barley, the main crops (with cotton), have started in October under close to average moisture conditions and will finalize in November (in the north and centre) and December (in the south). Below average rainfall is forecast for November after which close to average rainfall is to be expected through March according to the Copernicus C3S multimodel seasonal forecast.
0
0
0
TJK
29
Sudan
2025-10-11
2
Major hotspot
In late September and in October, rainfall has improved after an initial delay also in central and eastern Sudan. Heavy rains causing floods [https://reliefweb.int/disaster/fl-2025-000154-sdn] were reported in several parts of Sudan in the last week of August. At the end of October, vegetation conditions in rainfed and pastoral areas are mostly above average in most of western and central Sudan. In eastern Sudan and especially in the southeastern parts of Gedaref, in White Nile, Sennar and Blue Nile states, agricultural vegetation shows a late start making a shorter crop cycle likely. Although September and October rainfall might favour late or off season planted crops on these regions, the negative anomaly at this time of the year makes low planted areas in the high-potential agricultural zones very likely. In southern Kordofan, where a mixed situation was observed in the previous months, the vegetation signal is improving due to improved rainfall, but it remains difficult to separate agricultural from natural vegetation. Considering the ongoing conflict in the country and the limitations to farming it entails, the early season dryness for parts of eastern Sudan as well as localized floods remain additional stress factors that will negatively affect local production, despite late season rainfall. After three years of conflict, Sudan is one of the gravest food crises globally, with famine confirmed in 5 locations in late 2024 and expected to expand further in early 2025 and with more than 10 million people displaced by the conflict. According to [https://www.ipcinfo.org/ipc-country-analysis/details-map/en/c/1159787/?iso3=SDN] IPC, In September 2025, an estimated 21.2 million people—45 percent of Sudan's population—faced high levels of acute food insecurity (IPC Phase 3 or above), including 375,000 people in IPC Phase 5 (Catastrophe) and 6.3 million people in IPC Phase 4 (Emergency), with El Fasher town (North Darfur) and the besieged town of Kadugli (South Kordofan) classified in Famine (IPC Phase 5). The fall of El Fasher was followed by atrocities and an increase in displacement and there is concern that fighting activities will intensify in Kordofan. Humanitarian needs are increasing in nearby towns like Tawila.
1
1
1
SDN
33
Mozambique
2025-10-11
0
No hotspot
Land preparation and planting activities for the main cereal season are starting in the country. The [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast/monthly-precipitation/forecast/monthly-percentile-probability-plot/multimod-2025_2025_10_2-4-africa.png] Copernicus C3S Multimodel seasonal rainfall forecast for the November 2025-January 2026 period points to average rainfall conditions across the country.
0
0
0
MOZ
35
Cuba
2025-10-11
0
No hotspot
The main cycle of rice and maize and the sweet potatoes cycle are in the harvest stage. Harvest prospects are favorable overall, except in Holguin where nearly 25% of total cropland shows poor conditions due to water deficits accumulated since May. The [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast/monthly-precipitation/forecast/monthly-percentile-probability-plot/multimod-2025_2025_10_2-3-north_america.png" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener] Copernicus C3S Multimodel forecasts indicate above-normal rainfall until the end of the year, which should favor the sowing of minor rice and maize cycles which typically start in November.
5
2
5
CUB
41
Laos
2025-10-11
3
Not assessed
Not a hotspot country according to the latest ASAP analysis.
1
0
1
LAO
43
Djibouti
2025-10-11
0
No hotspot
Not a hotspot country according to the latest ASAP analysis.
0
0
0
DJI
50
Uzbekistan
2025-10-11
0
No hotspot
In Uzbekistan, sowing of winter cereals are underway under drier than average conditions (40 to 60% below average rainfall for the last month). According to the Copernicus C3S multimodel seasonal forecast, these drier than average conditions will persist through November and part of December, after which close to normal rainfall is forecast through March.
3
0
3
UZB
51
Madagascar
2025-10-11
1
Hotspot
In Madagascar, in October the 2025-2026 season has started with cereals and legumes planting in the Grand South (Anosy, Androy and Atsimo Andrefana) under close to average moisture conditions. In the centre and north, rice planting should start in November or December under forecast average to above average rainfall conditions. The Grand South is estimated to have about 1.2 to 1.5 million people facing acute food insecurity (IPC phase 3 and above) as a result of previous droughts (2020, 2021 and 2022), cyclones, and poor socio economic conditions according to the latest [https://www.ipcinfo.org/ipc-country-analysis/details-map/en/c/1159704/?iso3=MDG] IPC analysis.
1
0
1
MDG
52
El Salvador
2025-10-11
0
No hotspot
The Primera maize cycle is in the harvest stage, with overall good harvest prospects. Rice, sorghum, and the second cycle of beans are in the vegetation stage. The second cycle of maize is in the sowing stage. Crops in the sowing and vegetation stage have benefited from normal cumulated rainfall registered in the last month. The [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast/monthly-precipitation/forecast/monthly-percentile-probability-plot/multimod-2025_2025_10_2-3-north_america.png" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener] Copernicus C3S Multimodel forecast indicates above-normal rainfall is expected across the country until the end of the year, which should support an adequate performance for the second season of maize and beans as well as for the sorghum and rice cycles.
3
0
3
SLV
59
Mali
2025-10-11
0
No hotspot
Harvesting of the 2025 coarse grains (maize, millet, sorghum) and paddy crops is ongoing across the country and a good cereal harvest is expected thanks to generally good agroclimatic conditions during the 2025 agricultural season. However, according to [https://fews.net/fr/west-africa/mali/mise-jour-des-messages-cles/septembre-2025] FEWSNET (September 2025), below-average production is expected in insecure areas where field abandonment has been observed and in certain areas including production basins (inter-river area of Ségou, Sikasso and Mopti) due to the decline in cultivated areas, difficulties in accessing agricultural inputs (fertilizers, pesticides) and damage caused by pests. Rangeland biomass conditions as of mid-October are at average to above-average levels and according to [https://drive.google.com/file/d/1_JVnyRBLYcOzyjbbj3oGZCclIykK8cEE/view] Afrique Verte International (Point sur la situation alimentaire au Sahel, October 2025) the good pastoral conditions and the availability of water points has resulted in good livestock conditions.
3
1
3
MLI
61
C. African Rep.
2025-10-11
0
No hotspot
Rice and cassava crops are currently developing, with harvesting anticipated to begin in late November. Over the past month, rainfall was unevenly distributed, with northern rangeland areas receiving above-normal amounts (Ouham Pendé +38%) while southern regions experienced below-average precipitation (Basse-Kotto -11%). According to [https://peacekeeping.un.org/en/paving-way-peace-3r-combatants-lay-down-their-arms-north-western-car] UN Peacekeeping, combatants from the 3R armed group participated in disarmament operations in Sanguere-Lim, northwestern CAR, from September to October 2025 following a peace agreement signed in April, with a total of 575 combatants from 3R, UPC, and anti-Balaka groups disarmed to date with support from MINUSCA.
2
9
10
null
66
Ghana
2025-10-11
1
Hotspot
In the south, harvest of the main maize crop was concluded in September, while planting of the second maize crop is nearing completion. In the north, harvest of coarse grains crops is about to start. Crop conditions are poor in the Northern, Brong Ahafo and Upper West regions, where ca 40%-50% of active crop area is affected by a greenness anomaly. The three aforementioned regions, together, contribute to almost 40% of the national cereal production ([https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/country.php?cntry=94] Graph: Share of national cereal production by subnational units). Poor crop conditions are also observed in cropping areas in the southern part of the country. As a result, a reduced 2025 cereal production is expected. Rangeland conditions are also below-average across most parts of the country.
8
8
8
GHA
67
Afghanistan
2025-10-11
1
Hotspot
In Afghanistan, harvest of (irrigated) summer crops (rice and maize) is nearing completion with good prospects thanks to average to above average crop biomass in most areas except in the northwest (Jawzjan, Faryab) and parts of Samangan. Planting of winter wheat and barley has started under close to average moisture conditions (i.e. low rainfall up to now except in the southeast e.g. Khost, Kunar). Rainfall is forecast to be below average in November and December and close to normal from January through March according to the Copernicus C3S seasonal forecast multimodel. Afghanistan continues to face high levels of hunger with about 10 million people estimated in acute food insecurity (IPC phase 3 or above), an improvement with respect to the 15 million estimated in the previous year, as a result of a severe economic and social crisis (combined with climate change, gender inequalities, rapid urbanization, return of refugees from Iran and Pakistan) according to the latest [https://www.ipcinfo.org/ipc-country-analysis/details-map/en/c/1159622/] IPC analysis.
3
9
10
AFG
68
Haiti
2025-10-11
1
Hotspot
The harvest of the main rice cycle is underway, and the second cycle of maize has concluded its vegetation stage and is now ready for harvest. Over the past month, rainfall has been significantly above normal across most of the country's croplands. However, during the last dekad of October, Hurricane Melissa impacted the country, causing [https://urldefense.com/v3/__https://reliefweb.int/report/haiti/haiti-tropical-storm-melissa-grand-sud-situation-report-26-october-2025__;!!DOxrgLBm!FR6BgHVHfm-7G73shXrPIa8CsV3Y8JY6AkmSip3z13EqJaRl57jdevT7GsydIPC8qOX7EWzYokXIlgQkJ4WvCqFMzZ1HCp7gGyd91aFVUH4$" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener] negative effects on agriculture even before the worst effects of the storm prompted the government to declare a [https://www.telesurenglish.net/haiti-declares-state-of-emergency-for-damage-caused-by-hurricane-melissa-which-left-31-dead/" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener] state of emergency. The [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast/monthly-precipitation/forecast/monthly-percentile-probability-plot/multimod-2025_2025_10_2-3-north_america.png" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener] Copernicus C3S Multimodel forecasts indicate above-normal rainfall until the end of the year, which should favor the sowing of minor rice and maize cycles that typically start in the latter part of the year. Nevertheless, the above-normal rainfall forecast requires careful monitoring, as it could lead to further episodes of torrential rainfall, potentially causing additional damage to ongoing crop cycles and delaying sowing operations for new cycles. It is estimated that approximately 5.7 million people (around 51% of the population) are experiencing high levels of acute food insecurity from September 2025 to January 2026 ([https://www.ipcinfo.org/fileadmin/user_upload/ipcinfo/docs/IPC_Haiti_Acute_Food_Insecurity_Aug2024_Jun2025_Snapshot_English.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noreferrer noopener] IPC TWG Haiti).
0
0
0
HTI
74
Tanzania
2025-10-11
0
No hotspot
Maize is being established in bimodal areas for the Vuli season, while planting is approaching for Msimu maize and sorghum in unimodal areas. Below average rainfall has been recorded in the western part of the country during the last three dekads (Geita -31%, Kagera -19%, Katavi -45%, Kigoma -49%). In Kigoma, comparison of current vegetation conditions with last year shows significantly lower NDVI on cropland, as visible in the [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/s/d792094d] ASAP high-resolution viewer. The [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast.php?sfreg=africa] Copernicus C3S Multimodel seasonal forecast indicates a dry outlook for Tanzania in the coming months, which, if this tendency is confirmed, could potentially extend through the planting period for Msimu crops in unimodal areas.
4
4
5
TZA
77
Botswana
2025-10-11
0
No hotspot
Planting of the summer cereal crops in the western and southern main producing provinces will start in November. The [https://agricultural-production-hotspots.ec.europa.eu/seasonal_forecast/monthly-precipitation/forecast/monthly-percentile-probability-plot/multimod-2025_2025_10_2-4-africa.png] Copernicus C3S Multimodel seasonal rainfall forecast for the November 2025-January 2026 period points to average rainfall conditions across the country.
0
0
0
BWA
78
Iraq
2025-10-11
0
No hotspot
In Iraq, sowings of winter barley have started in October with the first rainfall while sowings of winter wheat should take place in November and December. Below average rainfall is expected for November but the situation should improve as from December with close to normal rainfall forecast through March according to the Copernicus C3S seasonal forecast multimodel. Rice harvest, which normally takes place in September October, is expected to be very poor this year due to the ban on rice cultivation in the main rice producing areas (Najaf and Qadissiya).
8
7
8
IRQ
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Anomaly Hotspots of Agricultural Production (ASAP)

Dataset Description

This dataset contains historical data with time series of all Anomaly Hotspots of Agricultural Production (ASAP) assessments since October 2016. The data provides insights into agricultural hotspots and potential food security issues globally.

Dataset Summary

  • Total Records: 8,292
  • Time Period: October 2016 to present
  • Last Updated: 2025-12-12
  • License: Creative Commons Attribution 4.0
  • Source: Humanitarian Data Exchange

Data Fields

  • asap0_id: Unique identifier for the location
  • asap0_name: Name of the location
  • date: Date of the observation (YYYY-MM-DD)
  • hs_code: Hotspot code (0=No hotspot, 1=Watch, 2=Major hotspot)
  • hs_name: Hotspot status name
  • comment: Detailed assessment comment
  • g1_w_crop: Crop growth indicator
  • g1_w_range: Range condition indicator
  • g1_w_any: Any growth indicator
  • ISO3: ISO 3-letter country code

Usage

from datasets import load_dataset

# Load the dataset
dataset = load_dataset("electric-sheep-africa/asap-agricultural-hotspots")

License

Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International

Citation

If you use this dataset, please cite the original source:

Anomaly Hotspots of Agricultural Production (ASAP) data. (2025). 
Retrieved from https://data.humdata.org/dataset/anomaly-hotspots-of-agricultural-production
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